Strict social distancing measures helped early control of SARS-CoV-2 spread in Duhok city, Iraq.

The aim of this letter is to discuss the pandemic management measures, including social distancing and community containment, taken in Duhok city in Northern Iraq, where a few patients were infected with COVID-19. During the first three months of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) pandemic, 15 patients were diagnosed with SARS-CoV-2 in Duhok city. All the patients were asymptomatic and were discharged to their home within 10 ± 3.2 days after throat swabs indicated a negative SARS-CoV-2 Real Time Reverse Transcriptase Polymerase Chain Reaction (RT-PCR) test. The social distancing and lockdown measures taken by the city were implemented in three stages. In the first stage, all educational institutions including schools, colleges and universities were closed. In the second stage, all gatherings were banned. Finally, state-imposed community-wide containment was declared. The social distancing measures helped control infections in the city. Gradual reopening is recommended to avoid the spread of infection.

Comparing the process of early control of government between H7N9 avian influenza in Shanghai in 2013 and COVID-19 in Wuhan in 2019 / 上海预防医学

[Objective] To analyze and judge the possibility of early control in Shanghai if COVID-19 begins in Shanghai. [Methods] Compare the process of early control of H7N9 avian influenza in Shanghai in 2013 and Wuhan COVID-19 in 2019. The early incidence data of Korean COVID-19 was simulated and analyzed to predict whether the medical resources needed in Shanghai were available. [Results] (1) It would take 22 days from the first case to the government's emergency response in terms of Shanghai. (2) It is estimated that there would be 602-763 patients with cumulative onset and onset after incubation period. (3) At least 500 beds of infectious diseases can be allocated in Shanghai in case of emergency. Through adding beds and resources reallocation in the whole city, patients can be fully admitted and treated. [Conclusion] If COVID-19 epidemic occurs in Shanghai, early control is possible.